This year there are ten movies nominated for Best Picture. I haven't seen all of them, but some deserve to be nominated more than others do. I will only make picks for the categories I have seen.
Best animated film: "Up" , about a grumpy old man (Ed Asner) who makes his home into a giant hot air balloon and travels a long way with a young stowaway. The movie was also nominated for Best Picture, but it is very unlikely to win against the likes of the Box Office juggernaut "Avatar" (with about $2 billion plus in ticket sales worldwide) or the critical darling "The Hurt Locker".
Best Director: Katharine Bigalow, James Cameron's ex BTW, is almost a sure thing for "The Hurt Locker" about American Bomb Squad members serving in Iraq. James Cameron arguably could win for "Avatar", but he has won before and the Academy has snubbed the fairer sex for too long. Quentin Tarentino perhaps deserves a nod for "Inglourious Basterds", but he has no chance in hell.
Best Supporting Actor: I haven't seen all the movies in this category, but if Christoph Waltz doesn't win for his portrayal of an urbane Nazi then something is very wrong.
Best Supporting Actress: Again, I haven't seen all the movies in this category, but of the ones I have seen Maggie Gyllenhaal is the best performance as a single mother/ journalist who gets involved with an aging country musician in "Crazy Heart".
Best Actor: I haven't seen every single movie in this category, but if Jeff Bridges fails to win as an aging, broken down country singer then the winner won't truly deserve the award.
Best Actress: I have seen only four of the movies in this category. The most likely to win is Sandra Bullock as a Southern Matriarch who takes in a hard luck African-American boy who later becomes an NFL star. Meryl Streep could possibly win in her role as Julia Child in "Julie and Julia". Less likely to win are Carey Mulligan in "An Education" as a young woman seduced by a much older man, and Helen Mirren as Leo Tolstoy's histrionic wife in "The Last Station" though both performances were excellent.
Best Picture: I have seen eight out of the ten movies in this category. Most of these movies were really good, but it is debatable if all of the films deserve to be lauded as possible Best Picture. The most likely to win are "Avatar" and "The Hurt Locker". A lot of critics are going with "The Hurt Locker". While "The Hurt Locker" is an excellent movie with a low budget, I am going with "Avatar" as Best Picture. If "Avatar" wins expect a lot more movies to be made with stratospheric budgets bigger than the Gross National Product of most nations. I chose "Avatar" because I could watch it over and over again and never get tired of it.
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